Base Rate Fallacy - The Decision Lab
By A Mystery Man Writer
Last updated 06 Jul 2024
![Base Rate Fallacy - The Decision Lab](https://images.prismic.io/thedecisionlab/af820e03-3033-4043-8a99-e6877f85f01b_base-rate-fallacy.jpeg?auto=compress,format)
Base Rate Fallacy is our tendency to give more weight to the event-specific information than we should, and sometimes even ignore base rates entirely.
Shut Out Noise to Make Sound Decisions
![Base Rate Fallacy - The Decision Lab](https://www.frontiersin.org/files/Articles/802439/fpsyg-12-802439-HTML/image_m/fpsyg-12-802439-g001.jpg)
Frontiers The Impact of Cognitive Biases on Professionals' Decision-Making: A Review of Four Occupational Areas
![Base Rate Fallacy - The Decision Lab](https://images.saymedia-content.com/.image/ar_16:9%2Cc_fill%2Ccs_srgb%2Cfl_progressive%2Cq_auto:eco%2Cw_1200/MTk2MDI1NDIyMzE0NDgwNjY2/what-is-the-base-rate-fallacy-examples-of-probability-problems.jpg)
What Is the Base Rate Fallacy? Examples of Probability Problems - Owlcation
![Base Rate Fallacy - The Decision Lab](https://www.pnas.org/cms/10.1073/pnas.1912378117/asset/7d63de14-8c28-42ad-9b9a-c5bf69820776/assets/images/large/pnas.1912378117fig01.jpg)
Base rate neglect and neural computations for subjective weight in decision under uncertainty
![Base Rate Fallacy - The Decision Lab](https://www.researchgate.net/publication/255952323/figure/fig1/AS:601786981314562@1520488605574/Probability-of-correct-gaydar-alarms-as-a-function-of-the-base-rate-of-gay-lesbians-in.png)
Probability of correct gaydar alarms as a function of the base-rate of
![Base Rate Fallacy - The Decision Lab](https://ars.els-cdn.com/content/image/1-s2.0-S0010027722001482-gr9.jpg)
On the generality and cognitive basis of base-rate neglect - ScienceDirect
![Base Rate Fallacy - The Decision Lab](https://i1.rgstatic.net/publication/223684493_The_Base_Rate_Fallacy_in_Probability_Judgments/links/5bfec5cd92851c63caaf0c7e/largepreview.png)
PDF) The Base Rate Fallacy in Probability Judgments
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Risks, Free Full-Text
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A journalist's guide to cognitive bias (and how to avoid it), by Paul Bradshaw
![Base Rate Fallacy - The Decision Lab](https://fastercapital.com/i/And-the-Base-Rate-Fallacy--Navigating-the-Maze-of-Decision-Making--Introduction-to-the-Base-Rate-Fallacy-in-Decision-Making.webp)
And the Base Rate Fallacy: Navigating the Maze of Decision Making - FasterCapital
![Base Rate Fallacy - The Decision Lab](https://miro.medium.com/v2/resize:fit:1400/1*iLb73Z4rVQphVTLf-ODk7g.png)
The Base Rate Fallacy in UX Design: How It Impacts Our Decision-Making Processes, by Bumi Kim
![Base Rate Fallacy - The Decision Lab](https://i.ytimg.com/vi/WjH_IDjVvR8/maxresdefault.jpg)
Base Rate Neglect: Why We Ignore Probabilities
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